State budget director Dave Schmiedicke estimated that Wisconsin could be in line to receive $2.5 billion in federal stimulus money for education and medical assistance programs.
Schmiedicke also said that estimates show the state could receive $575 million for transportation and infrastructure projects.
Schmiedicke made the remarks at a Wisconsin Credit Union League meeting at the Monona Terrace this morning. He was joined at the forum by Rep. Mark Pocan, the co-chair of the Joint Finance Committee, and Todd Berry, president of the Wisconsin Taxpayers Alliance.
The estimates given by Schmiedicke were based on the $87 billion allocated for the Medicaid program and $79 billion for education in the proposal from the House of Representatives last week. Schmiedicke's estimate is based on population and income figures, and he said the state will likely receive about 1.7 percent of the funding for those programs.
Pocan, D-Madison, said the state faces a "dire situation" that is largely due to the faltering federal economy. Schmiedicke said the federal economy had a "meltdown" in October and November.
Schmiedicke said the federal government will play a vital role in sustaining health care program levels and education funding in the state in the upcoming budget. In the absence of federal money, Schmiedicke said the state is "looking at dramatic cuts," and that cuts will be necessary even with federal help.
Pocan warned that federal stimulus money the state receives won't provide "dollar-for-dollar" relief to the state deficit, noting that much of the money is meant to stimulate the economy through job creation programs.
"Not everything we get from the feds is coming off the state budget," he said.
Berry said he is concerned that the state will use the federal stimulus money the way the transportation and injured patients and families compensation fund have been used, "one-time pots of money to pay for permanent programs." He said that approach would only make the state's fiscal problems worse in the future.
But Berry allowed, for the state economy "the worst case scenario is the status quo."
With the state having faced structural deficits going into the last two budgets, Pocan said "the low hanging fruit is gone" when it comes to cuts, and even with an infusion of federal cash the current deficit will be made up with "very serious cuts."
"If we don't get creative that means cuts to education and cuts to health care," Pocan said.
Pocan said the state stimulus plan will include "tax fairness" provisions, and that some "special interests" haven't been paying their fair share in the last decade. The goal is to pass the state stimulus by mid-February, Pocan said.
"We have done a lot of things for special interests that have been bad for Wisconsin," he said. "Some people have unduly benefited in the last decade-plus."
Schmiedicke said a portion of the state stimulus plan will be focused on "targeted tax credits" to stimulate job creation.
Pocan said the goal with the tax fairness initiatives is to raise revenues without hurting working families. Pocan also said while nothing can be ruled out on the revenue side, "The goal is not to do across-the-board general tax increases."
Following the introduction of the budget by Gov. Jim Doyle, which is slated for the first week in February, Pocan said he hopes the Legislative Fiscal Bureau will finish their analysis in two-and-a-half weeks. Following a series of public hearings throughout the state, Pocan said the JFC will deliberate six to eight weeks, and then send it to the full Legislature by the end of May. That would give the Legislature and the governor a full month to finish the budget by the end of the fiscal year on June 30, he said.
"We want to get the budget done on time," he said.